Wednesday, September 14, 2011

Poverty rate rises in America


NEW YORK (CNNMoney) -- Amid a still struggling economy, more people in America fell below the poverty line last year, according to new census data released Tuesday.

The nation's poverty rate rose to 15.1% in 2010, its highest level since 1993. In 2009, 14.3% of people in America were living in poverty.

"The results are not surprising given the economy," said Paul Osterman, author of "Good Jobs America," and a labor economist at MIT. "You would expect with so many people unemployed, the poverty rate would go up. It's just another sign of what a difficult time this is for so many people."
About 46.2 million people are now considered in poverty, 2.6 million more than last year.

Poverty in America


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Poverty rate rises in America

Why a Working-Class Revolt Might Not Be Unthinkable

By MARK THOMA, The Fiscal Times
September 13, 2011
 
It was encouraging to see President Obama pivot from deficit reduction to job creation in his widely anticipated speech last week. The president proposed a combination of spending and tax reduction policies, and he surprised many people with the boldness of his proposals and his passion and commitment to the issue. Unfortunately, Obama’s plan is unlikely to be much help to struggling labor markets. Fourteen million people are unemployed, long-term unemployment remains near record highs, the ratio of job seekers to job openings is 4.3 to 1, and the employment to population ratio has dropped precipitously. While concerns over the deficit are valid for the long run, they shouldn’t prevent us from doing more to help the jobless. (The debt dilemma is predominantly a health-care-cost issue, and whether or not we help the jobless doesn’t much change its magnitude.)

The real problem is the political atmosphere. Republicans may go along with doing just enough to look cooperative rather than obstructionist -- but no more than that. And the job-creation policies that emerge from Congress are unlikely to make a dent in chronic unemployment. In fact what emerges won’t be anywhere near the $445 billion program the president has called for, which itself is short of the dramatic intervention needed to really make a difference.I don’t expect we’ll get much more help from the Fed either. There is quite a bit of disagreement among monetary policymakers over whether further easing would do more harm than good, and inflation hawks are standing in the way of those who want to aggressively attack unemployment. As with Congress, the Fed is likely to adopt a compromise position and do the minimum it can while still looking as though it is trying to meet its obligation to promote full employment.

Thus, despite the President’s newfound interest in job creation, and the call from some at the Fed to treat unemployment the same way they would treat elevated inflation – as though “their hair was on fire” – the actual policies that come out of Congress and the Fed are unlikely to be sufficient.
 
It’s time for this to change. The loss of 8.75 million payroll jobs since the recession began should be a national emergency. But it’s not, and the question is why. Why has deficit reduction taken precedence over job creation? Why is our political system broken to the extent that a whole segment of the population is not being adequately represented in Congress?




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Saturday, September 10, 2011

Wealth Gap: How Far Apart Are The Bottom 50 Percent And The Top 1 Percent?

Tax The Rich Sign

WASHINGTON -- Listening to Republicans on the campaign trail or the House floor, one might think the quickest way to eliminate the deficit is to make Americans who earn the least pay more in taxes. "Part of the problem is today only 53 percent pay any federal income tax at all; 47 percent pay nothing,” Rep. Michele Bachmann (R-Minn.) told a crowd in South Carolina, repeating a conservative meme. "We need to broaden the base so that everybody pays something, even if it’s a dollar."
Beyond Bachmann, the idea has been spread by Republicans from Texas Gov. Rick Perry, Florida Sen. Marco Rubio and former Utah Gov. Jon Huntsman to members of the House and Senate leadership. It was brought up again in Wednesday's GOP presidential debate by other candidates.

"Daily Show" host Jon Stewart recently zinged the GOP for its relentless focus on the poor, noting that even if the government took absolutely everything the bottom 50 percent owned, it would still raise only about $700 billion (never mind the starvation that would result).

But that's wealth. What about income? What if the government taxed those who Republicans say are getting off scot-free at the rate of 50 percent of all they earned and disallowed deductions? How much would that raise?

Not that much.

Using data from the Internal Revenue Service compiled by the Tax Foundation, a HuffPost analysis found that if the bottom 50 percent of Americans (those earning less than $33,048 a year) had their gross income taxed at a flat rate of 50 percent, the government would net around $537 billion. However, taxing the top 1 percent (earning $380,354 or more) at the same 50 percent rate would rake in about $843 billion.

The gross income figures in this analysis include capital gains -- more likely to be a source of income for the top 1 percent -- which are currently taxed at lower rates than income. Of course, no one is seriously pushing the idea of taxing the richest 1.4 million Americans at a 50 percent rate.

This analysis also uses a 50 percent flat tax, rather than the current progressive tax rates. The flat tax is another idea championed by conservatives and Republican presidential candidates. Even at the lower flat tax rate that conservatives propose -- 17 to 20 percent usually -- the money raised from the bottom 50 percent of Americans would still pale in comparison with how much the top 1 percent would pay in total. Yet such a rate would represent a significant tax increase on the bottom 50 percent, in some instances doubling their burden, while cutting taxes on the wealthy almost in half.

The suggestion to return to the Clinton-era top marginal rates on the richest Americans alone would send an addition $72 billion pouring into federal coffers annually, according to Citizens for Tax Justice.

To see the wealth gap from another perspective, consider that the net worth of the bottom 60 percent of all U.S. households, roughly 100 million households, is lower than that of the Forbes 400 richest Americans -- an analysis confirmed by various economists for PolitiFact.

Further, the amount raised over 10 years by increasing tax rates on the top 2 percent of Americans to the rates that prevailed in the Clinton era would be greater than half the net worth of the bottom 60 percent of U.S. households. Ending the Bush tax cuts for those households earning more than $250,000 would add almost $830 billion to U.S. coffers over 10 years, after factoring in the cost to finance the debt.

The Tax Policy Center said the Bush tax cuts, which lowered the top tax bracket from 39 to 35 percent, have cost the United States more than $2.3 trillion since they were enacted. The Center on Budget and Policy Priorities has shown that the Bush tax cuts, if extended, would become the largest contributor to the deficit within a decade.

And, of course, the argument that half of Americans aren't paying federal income tax ignores a host of other levies, including federal payroll taxes, as well as various state taxes the poor cannot escape -- such as income, sales, property and gas taxes -- which are actually paid at a similar rate across all income levels.